2011 Ballarat Cup, preview, form, ratings and tips

Cape Hawke on the back of his brilliant 2011 Ballarat Cup heat win is early favourite for tonight’s 2011 Ballarat Cup Final (450m).

The Jamie Ennis-trained dog has drawn box eight for the final after posting 25.17 sec in the heat.

It was three lengths quicker than any other heat winner but there is a slight snag to this apparent ‘over the line job’.

While Cape Hawke has won from every other box he has jumped from, he hasn’t won from the pink.

In two starts, the best he could muster is a third, albeit behind former topliner Enry Walt.

At his first attempt from the box Cape Hawke began poorly at the Meadows and never recovered.

Cape Hawke can do that though more times than not he gets it right.

At his second and latest start from the pink he led but was beaten over three lengths by Enry Walt.

Any other 2011 Ballarat Cup runner probably wouldn’t have done much better against Enry Walt.

Cape Hawke’s pink box record is a niggling worry without being a turn off.

Cape Hawke in 18 starts to date has never drawn box one, which  is a tad unlucky given his record from the inside is extra good.

He has won five races from box two from five starts.

So can Cape Hawke be beaten?

The short answer is yes but he has an undeniable chance.

Andrea Daily has three 2011 Ballarat Cup finalist Bala Bale, Lektra Express and Dyna Steal.

The best of these appears to be Bala Bale who won a heat of the recent Melbourne Cup.

The 25kg bitch had to settle for sixth in the final behind kennelmate Dyna Tron.

She then won her next two starts at this track.

Her heat win was in 25.42.

She is drawn to nearly lead and when she does that she is hard to run down.

Interestingly enough she has never jumped out of box two in a race though is undefeated from box three and has won one and placed in two runs
from box one – inside boxes suit her.

Bala Bale, Mungo Man and Cape Hawke have all had two starts at Ballarat and remain undefeated.

Mungo Man is trained by Victorian Hall Of Famer Allan Britton who hasn’t won a Ballarat Cup.

It looks unlikely this son of Where’s Pedro will change things around.

All his wins have been from inside and outside boxes but nothing has come from the middle.

He hasn’t won from boxes 3, 4, 5 or 6. They have mustered just three third placings in 11 starts.

Mungo Man is slow early and is likely to be at the tail which makes it tough in such a quality field.

Marmion has won from every box and it ran the quickest first section from last week’s 2011 Ballarat Cup heat winners.

One trainer who has had a great year and should never be under estimated is Graeme Bate.

The master trainer has Up And Away jumping from box three in the final.

It has won its past three starts leading all the way and has won three of four starts at Ballarat.

Its best time at the track of 25.23.

That says it has all the ingredients to be the 2011 Ballarat Cup winner.

Breckenridge has to be respected from box one.

From six starts, it has only missed a place once from the alley in six starts.

His heat win from box six was solid.

He does like to use  a bit of the track but may be added in the multiples.

2011 Ballarat Cup field, form and ratings.

  • 1-BRECKENRIDGE (trainer, J Frusher) (26:7-8-7); Box 1 record (6-2-2-1): Can be risky from start but has an overall time good enough to be competitive. Big odds but worth including in multiples. Heat time 25.40 Rating 6.
  • 2-BALA BALE (A L Dailly)(13:7-1-2): No starts from box two: Quick early, undefeated at Ballarat, in good kennel. Small bitch and wouldn’t want any interference. Heat time 25.42 Rating 8.
  •  3. UP AND AWAY (G J Bate) (43:15-7-8): Box 3 record (4:1-1-1): Won past three starts. Won three of four at Ballarat, Very quick early, won most prizemoney, trained by the master.  Heat time 25.42  Rating 8.
  • 4. LEKTRA EXPRESS (A L Dailly) (55:14-10-4) Box 4 record (3:0-1-0): Usually not a great beginner but led last week. Still ran the slowest heat time in 25.66.  Poor record from this box and looks covered by opposition. Rating 2.
  •  5. MUNGO MAN (A J Britton) (33:8-5-4): Box 5 record (5-0-0-2): Slow early, poor record from the box. Won both starts at the track to date with heat time being its quickest. Needs luck. Heat time 25.44. Rating 4.
  • 6. MARMION (J G Coburn) (59:26-9-9): Box 6 record (11:3-1-2): Won seven of past eight starts. Ran the quickest first section last
    week, marginally. Won three of five at this track. Second quickest heat time. Form just too good to dismiss. Heat time 25.35. Rating 7.
  • 7. DYNA STEAL (A L Dailly): Box 7 record (1:1-0-0): Average beginner. Won three of six at this track. Has a best time here of 25.13.
    Working up a good record and certain to have admirers. Rating 6
  • 8. CAPE HAWKE (18:11-0-3): Box 8 record (2:0-0-1): Fastest heat winner. Working up a good record. Generally quick early. Yet to win form box. Likely to start short and definitely can win. Rating 8.
  • Reserves. Autoamerican and Wongawilli Wala have been scratched.

TIPS: BALA BALE 1 Cape Hawkes 2 Up and Away 3 Marmion 4.

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