2011 Brisbane Cup – form, ratings and tips

The Group 1 $107,500 2011  Brisbane Cup (520m) at Albion Park on Thursday night is considered the best line up in years.

The Melbourne Cup winner Dyna Tron, Vic Peters winner Spring Gun, Golden Easter Egg winner Radley Bale, Shootout winner Bekim Bale and last year’s Brisbane Cup winner He Knows Uno are ably joined by constant Group finalist Glen Gallon, Radical Dos and Mercy Rule.

The final field’s accumulative stake money is $1.6m – I mean how is your Chihuahua going?

2011 BRISBANE CUP – Summary, ratings and betting.

  1. DYNA TRON (Andrea Dailly – trainer): In great form having won the Geelong and Melbourne Cup in recent time. Ran the quickest first section in the heats last week. Loves to rail and has the chance to lead here. The worry;  Spring Gun has good speed as well and likes to rail and they may be fighting each other for the lead and cause each other harm. Dyna Tron ran off the track in the heat. It was put down to the fact he had never raced at the track previously. Trainer Andrea Dailly believes he will negotiate the turn a lot better this time around. Great chance –  2011 Brisbane Cup Betting $2.75. Rating 8.
  2. SPRING GUN (Christine  Oldfield): Very quick away last week and ran the quickest second sectional of the finalist. That also converted to the quickest heat win. In thumping form after having won the Vic Peters at Wentworth Park recently. The worry;  He led with comfort recently but may have a tougher task here with Dyna Tron in box one just as quick early, if not quicker.  His also showed visible signs of weakening in the heat last week.  2011 Brisbane Cup Betting  $4. Rating 6.
  3. GLEN GALLON (Tony Brett): Very good dog who can break 30 sec at this track. Slowish early but likes to rail and well boxed as he can easily get behind two quick beginners on his inside.  Has won eight of 13 starts at this track and placed in another four. If there is signs of weakness up front or trouble he could easily take advantage. The worry; The biggest question is whether he is up to this class of field. He has always shown a touch of class but is yet to convert it into a Group 1 win.  Just over two-years-old and still has plenty of time. Maybe this will be the first of them.  2011 Brisbane Cup Betting $11. Rating 7.
  4. RADICAL DOS (Denise Robinson): Has found another leg in the past month. Whereas he may have faded in some races previously, he is really hitting the line well. He was mowing Spring Gun down in the final stages of the heat and converted on Monday night. The worry;  The obvious worry is box four. One doubts he has the speed to lead. That leaves him midfield. Though he can finish strongly he isn’t the best at that caper either in this field. And then there is the class factor.  One would want to be provided with very good odds. Not impossible but unlikely.  2011 Brisbane Cup Betting $21. Rating 4.
  5. BEKIM BALE (Andrea Dailly): Excellent youngster who is the only dog to break 29 sec at Sandown Park. Was the unlucky runner in
    the recent Melbourne Cup won by his kennelmate Dyna Tron. He is amazingly strong and quick and with a clear run can easily win this. The worry; He isn’t the quickest early which leaves him midfield. In last week’s heat he ran wide at the first turn and caused interference. He did the same thing in the Melbourne Cup. He seems to come off the better in these troubles but loses momentum all the same. Likes to track wide and that isn’t necessarily bad here. Just too good to dismiss.  2011 Brisbane CupBetting $2.75. Rating 8.
  6. RADLEY BALE (Graeme Bate):  Great money earner having won $450,000 in prizemoney. Just a true professional who seems to make endless finals. Is very strong and heat win was in competitive time. Trainer is coming up to Brisbane and that has been a good sign in the past. He has dogs drawn to his immediate inside and outside that are slow early which may enable him to get a good start. The worry; Can be a little hit or miss at the start. If he misses the start that could be the end of his race. There is an abundant amount of speed coming out of boxes one and two and one doubts he can lead this field. Rarely runs a bad race however and is an eachway chance.  2011 Brisbane Cup. Betting $8 Rating 6.
  7. HE KNOWS UNO (Mick Patterson):  Winner of this race last year when just 24 months. Trainer admits this is a harder race but says his dog has also improved since that race. And that is pretty much right. Ran 29.70 sec at this track four starts back. He has won 10 of 15 starts at this track and placed at four other starts. Possesses plenty of class and has a great finishing burst. He has a bit of track sense as well. The worry; Slow early and likes to find the rail before working out his race. Likely to be last at the post the first time and on the rail. Will need an ounce of luck and not get held up in running but can win if all goes well.  2011 Brisbane Cup. Betting $12. Rating 8.
  8. MERCY RULE (Pamela Field): Ultra consistent bitch who rarely runs a bad race. Nearly defeated Bekim Bale in the heat last week after leading from box seven. The worry; She has plenty. She lacks the true speed to lead and perhaps the true class to win. She heads straight for the fence from the start but that area is likely to be crowded with other dogs who are better boxed. Had this box in an easier race on Monday and finished down the track. A real trier and nearly got away with a $50 win last week but doubt she will make the frame here.  2011 Brisbane Cup. Betting $51 . Rating  2.
  9. ISO OCTANE (Tony Brett): Strung together nine wins in a row at this track earlier in the year. Dropped a pin muscle and was off the scene for months. Had three runs since July at this preparation and has improved in fitness and performance in all of them. Showed his customary speed last week and led. Whereas that would have been enough to see him over the line earlier in the year, he faded again in the final stages.  He is not far from his best but isn’t quite there and can’t afford to give anything away in a race like this.  Rough chance.   2011 Brisbane Cup. Betting $17. Rating 4.
  10. BOGIE KING (Ryan Ayre): Earned four runner-up cheques in a row. Dual Derby winner who rarely runs a bad race. Has won 11 races
    in 22 starts at this track. Has bulldoggish qualities. The worry; Lacks true early speed or the best finishing burst when compared to the others in this field. It is hard to make a great case for him on those deficiencies.  2011 Brisbane Cup. Betting $17. Rating 3.

TIPS: He Knows Uno, Bekkim Bale, Dyna Tron, Glen Gallon.

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