Sandown – 2011 Melbourne Cup heats preview

The eight heats of the Melbourne Cup at Sandown have those favoured by conditions and those who will need to overcome.

The eight wines will make up the $290,000 Group 1 final on November 17.

The first heat is open with Smoke Home (box six) and Allen Elroy (box five), the two in-form greyhounds with poor alleys.

Gable Lid (box 1) has an interesting record,  runner having won eight races, one from each box. He could easily be the one form the red while Don Chendo (box 8) has recent poor form but does usually improve form the pink as it enables him to stay out of trouble.

Tend to lean to Allen Elroy from Gable Lid and Smoke Home.

The second heat appears a little more clear cut with both Fancy Dean (box 3) and Shereen Bale (box 8) holding the advantage. The dog boxed where he wants to be is Black Dodge (box 7) having won five of his six starts from the two outside boxes.

Launchinator (box 2) can run a bit of time with the right short of run and may be the smokey.

Fancy Dean in front of Shereen Bale and Launchinator.

The third heat see Tonneli Bale drawn perfectly in the red. The Graeme Bate trained bitch has won five of six starts from the alley. Rewind is the obvious danger having knocked out an outstanding 29.34 sec here on October 20.

The box Rewind wins from all boxes and has early the toe and a slow beginner drawn on his outside.

Strong Intention (box 6) and Bala Bale(box 5) have ability but the alleys make it tougher while Simply Charlie (box two) has the speed to lead.

It is Rewind from Tonnelli Bale and Simply Charlie.

Heat four sees Allen Harper (box 1) get a desired inside draw. From seven starts from boxes one or two he has won seven races. The only problem is his lack of Sandown form, having started at the track just once last week when beaten just a tad under seven lengths.

He will be better for the experience. The speedy Dyna Tron (box 8), not otbe outdone, is three from three from box eight. He also has done well at Sandown Park having recorded a 29.48 sec.

Bitten (box 2)  is racing well, has the early dash and likes the inside. Coolan Miss (box 7) rarely runs a bad race at Sandown.

Dyna Tron from Allen Harper and Bitten.

Heat five sees track record holder Bekim Bale (box 8) back up after his Shootout win last week.

He is not brilliant early but is strong and is impossible to go past.

Mepunga Nicky (box 3)  is quick early and could take advantage of any trouble. No Justice (box 5) and Zippstar (box 6) have been racing well.

Bekim Bale from Zippstar and Mepunga Nicky.

The sixth heat looks a touch more open. Cape Hawke  (box 8) can be tardy from the boxes. Putting hisbest paw forward he will take beating. Heston Bale (box 5) has a win over littermate Bekim Bale (box 5) such is his talent.

The worry is his slow getaways, given a clear run he will take stopping. Amakler Girl (box 2) and Gold Coast Gazza (box 4)  are good on their night and can’t be ruled out lightly.

Queenslander Metz Magic (box 7) has a lot of talent having won the National Sprint and isn’t badly boxed out there.

It could be a race that throws up a surprise.

Metz Magic from Heston Bale and Cape Hawk.

Radley Bale (box 4) is in heat seven. He continually runs good races and no reason why he cannot do it again here. A winner of 11 races at the track, his class should see him through.

Flash Drive (box 1) is quick early and has won five of seven starts from the red. King Mick (box 5) has a good record at Sandown and may do better than most think.

Radley Bale ahead of Flash Drive and King Mick.

In heat eight, Clyde’s Angel will be looking for a repeat of last week when leading throughout from box two. She clocked 29.58 sec which will just about get away with this.

Dyna Moss (box 1) could be aided by Pedrosa (box 2) who can race wide early. It may pave the way for a clear run. Many chances in this heat including Pedrosa, Allen Hertz, Ed Pacino and Mepunga Geordie.

Settle on Dyna Morris from Clyde’s Angel and Mepunga Goerdie.